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新浪首页 > 教育天地 > 中国周刊(2002年2月号) > Euro's Impact on China

Euro's Impact on China
http://www.sina.com.cn 2002/08/08 14:07  中国周刊


  Authough the long-awaited debut of Euro banknotes and coins on Tuesday was largely considered a technical step and of limited macroeconomic significance, it signalsthe coming of age of a currency that is destined to revise the world monetary landscape and bestow a significant and profound impact on the economic growth of China

  Impact on China's finance

  The newborn Euro has substantial financial implications for China's foreign exchange reserves, foreign debt, monetary policy and the banking sector. First of all, it presents a fresh option for China to diversify its foreign exchange reserves, which reached US billion in mid-October.

  Secondly, it also provides a stage for China to restructure its foreign debt by borrowing more Euro-denominated debt and cutting its yen liabilities. The Japanese yen takes up a relatively high proportion of China's outstanding foreign debt, putting China at a tremendous foreign debt risk.

  Experts expect that the creation of the Euro will water down the pressure put onthe RMB from fluctuations of the US dollar and Japanese yen, which will be a long-term stabilizing factor for RMB. The power of the dollar and yen are in doubt as both economies are doing badly.

  On the other hand, the currency unification will push European banks towards theuniversal banking model, typical in Germany, making them more competitive and consequently putting more pressure on Chinese banks. Monetary unification has already taken a considerable chunk of profits away from Chinese banks, as conversions between the 12 legacy currencies are no longer needed, while European banks have already enjoy a cozy position in the world banking system, taking up more than 300 seats among the world top 1,000 banks.

  Chinese banks should put more stress on Frankfurt,swheresthe European Central Bank is headquartered, in their overseas business strategies, alongside their long-time emphasis on London.

  Impact on Chinese companies' business

  The launch of the Euro also has far-reaching effects on China's foreign trade and use of foreign direct investment, experts said.

  The adoption of the single currency Euro demonstrates closer co-operation in theregion and presents challenges for Chinese companies in the short term. But the Euro is expected to boost the EU economy, which is conducive to Chinese companies' business with EU firms. The EU now imports about half of its energy and two-thirds of its materials from other countries, and a thriving EU economy is expected to boost demand and increase imports.

  Simplify procedures

  The new currency will also simplify procedures for Chinese companies exporting to the EU.

  With the launch of the Euro, the EU reduces its internal trade barriers and replaces the complicated import management systems of the 12 EU countries with unified rules, saving Chinese companies time and money.

  The emergence of a single currency in the region also simplifies Chinese companies' settlement of trade with EU companies and cuts down their inflation proof costs.

  Increase EU's investments in China

  The EU's investments in China are also expected to increase following the launchof the Euro. A strong Euro will prompt EU companies to turn to long-term investment plans and invest large amounts in transportation, energy, materials manufacturing and agriculture,swheresChina especially welcomes foreign investors to enter.


  Disadvantages

  But the enhanced co-operation among EU countries favors member economies and disfavors non-members Trade between EU countries increased seven-fold over the last two decades, compared with a rise of just 2.5 times in trade with other countries, according to EU statistics.

  Trade within EU countries now makes up 60 per cent of their total foreign trade.

  The adoption of the Euro eliminates foreign exchange risks within the EU, reduces transaction costs, facilitates the flow of commodities, labor and capital and is helpful for EU countries at different economic development levels to re-allocate their labor and resources.

  Eager to expand to the east, the EU is expected to favor trade with and investments in Central and Eastern Europe, which could place pressure on China's advantage in labor-intensive products.

  The majority of Chinese exporters to the EU are small and medium-sized enterprises and the cost of adjusting their financial documents, upgrading technological equipment and training personnel weighs heavily on them.

  It is better that the government educates domestic companies, publicizes information about the Euro and helps them train their financial personnel to lay down new financial strategies.

  Domestic companies should adjust their marketing strategies in accordance with the use of a new single currency in the region. The old way of price differentiation for individual EU markets should be given up. In the face of increasing anti-dumping charges by EU firms, Chinese exporters should avoid price competition and reduce these unfavorable factors for market exploration due to bad internal co-ordination. Chinese companies must improve the product structure of their exports to the Euro region.

  Statistics of I/E between China and European Countries from Jan to Sep of 2001

Country(Region) I/E export import
Europe 7,222,813 3,617,674 3,605,139
Belgium 314,903 186,204 128,699
Denmark 118,846 72,331 46,515
Britain 758,045 493,020 265,026
Germany 1,713,456 701,586 1,011,870
France 586,618 276,810 309,808
Ireland 77,382 36,376 41,007
Italy 596,540 307,482 289,058
Luxemburg 7,393 2,924 4,469
Holland 640,351 532,336 108,015
Greece 53,811 50,230 3,581
Portugal 25,221 20,172 5,049
Spain 221,888 169,500 52,388
Austria 76,617 26,892 49,726
Finland 250,932 61,643 189,289
Sweden 243,087 73,502 169,585
Albania 1,150 1,150 0
Bulgaria 8,423 6,728 1,695
Hungary 88,301 78,121 10,179
Iceland 3,428 2,189 1,239
Monaco 278 155 123
Norway 74,954 32,106 42,848
Poland 91,102 77,577 13,525
Romania 27,151 18,938 8,212
Switzerland 176,500 51,013 125,487 
Estonia 24,611 23,666 944
Latvia 4,039 3,580 459
Armenia 296 196 100
Belarus 3,736 738 2,999
Kazakstan 97,453 24,234 73,219
Kirghizstan 9,094 5,716 3,379
Russia 759,303 178,274 581,029
Turkmenistan 2,921 2,821 100
Ukraine 65,250 17,715 47,536
Yugoslavia 7,523 6,613 910
Slovenia 6,354 5,550 803
Croatia 11,832 11,391 441
Unit:ten thousand USD



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