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Oil consumption surges
http://www.sina.com.cn 2003/07/04 11:02  Shanghai Daily

  China will probably overtake Japan as the world's second-largest oil consumer this year as demand remains "stagnant" in Asia's biggest economy, which is struggling to avoid another recession, the US Department of Energy said.

  China used 5.26 million barrels of oil per day last year compared with Japan's 5.4 million barrels, the US government said in a report. China will probably surpass Japan in oil consumption this year as demand is "growing rapidly" while Japan's is stagnant, it said. Japan has had three recessions since 1991.

  "China's growing oil demand is a sure sign of the country's economic ascendance," said Han Wenke, deputy director at the Beijing-based Energy Research Institute, which is funded by State Development and Reform Commission, China's top planning ministry.

  Japan's oil demand, which had been stoked by a strong export economy, peaked in 1996 at 5.9 million barrels a day, the US government said in a separate report. Oil demand in China will grow an annual 4 percent between now and 2005, Beijing predicts. The US is the world's biggest oil user.

  China, which became a net oil importer in 1993, may accelerate its push for the oil companies it controls, such as PetroChina Co and China Petrochemical Group, to clinch more reserves abroad to help plug a growing gap between domestic production and demand.

  Output at the Daqing field, which accounts for one in three barrels of oil China produces, will probably fall below 50 million metric tons (368 million barrels) this year, the first time since 1976, a confirmation that reserves are dwindling at the country's top field. Reserves at other top Chinese oil fields, such as Shengli, in the eastern Shan-dong Province, are also falling.

  BP Plc said last month that China overtook Japan last year as the No 2 oil consumer. China used a daily 5.36 million barrels of oil last year com-pared with Japan's 5.34 million barrels, according to BP's Stati-stical Review of World Energy.

  Energy Research's Han said China hasn't yet overtaken Japan as the world's second-largest oil consumer.

  "That might happen later in the year," he said.

  China imports about one-third of the oil it needs. That may increase to two-thirds of the total by 2025 when China is expected to consume 10.9 million barrels of oil a day, the Department of Energy report said.




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