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Recent Major Developments
http://www.sina.com.cn 2004/07/19 17:21  新浪教育

  Spend time to search for information on the latest developments on the company. With the advent of technology today, this has become so much easier compared to the pre-Internet era. Keeping abreast on the recent key developments of the company and the industry will definitely enhance your ability to engage in a broader range of topics during your dialogue with your interviewers. In fact, the very position that you are interviewing for may be the result of some recently announced business initiatives.

  Note the names of the Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, geographical heads or other senior people in the organization responsible for key business or functional areas.

  Find out the unique aspects that the company takes pride in, for example, people culture, innovation, management style, philosophy, etc.

  Every global financial institution has a strong and distinctive corporate culture in order for them to function across diverse geographical regions and respond speedily to the dynamic nature of the inter-connected global financial markets. Most basic of all, employees in any business establishment must share common vision, values and spirit of enterprise in order to deliver its value propositions to clients. Some of the corporate leaders put in tremendous efforts to propagate its corporate philosophy. Having a good idea of what they are will allow you to better understand the company’s business culture, and why certain questions are asked during the interviews.

  Current Affairs

  This is a broad category and it is difficult to know them all. The financial markets are complex, all encompassing and fickle-minded. Economic performance, corporate events, government regulations and policies, political affairs, war & conflicts, monetary policies and terrorism could all have a profound impact on investors?sentiment and capital flows; and hence, affect the financial markets. Students of the financial markets must pay keen attention as to how all these confluence of factors interact with the respective financial markets, and differentiate both the short-term sentiment and long-term fundamentals. Major topics to pay attention to include the impact of the Federal Reserve of U.S. interest rate actions and the prevailing policies of the other G7 central banks; the compliance and accountability issues now facing corporations; trade sanctions between major trading blocks; crude oil prices; the major problems and issues facing the major G7 economies such as U.S., Japan and Europe; and details of the latest financial scandal or crisis, which will always be a topic of interest.

  Having distilled all the news and its implications on various markets and investments, it is then essential to be able to make a judgment regarding the investment or portfolio on hand. This is not as easy as it sounds, as in most cases, the signals might not be that clear, and the markets could have already moved on the news. Success can only be achieved by constantly keeping abreast with the latest developments.

  NonfinancialFinancial/Expectations

  Average factory workweekStock prices(S&P500)

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance Real money supply(M2)

  Vendor performance(delivery lead times)Change in yield curve(10year note yield

  Building permits minus Federal funds rate)

  Real new orders for consumer goods and

  materials Consumer expectations

  Real manufacturer’s new orders,

  nondefense capital goods

  DescriptionValueNet Change%Changetime

  North/Latin America

  DOW JONES INDUS. AVG8737.85-5.08-0.0612/04

  S&P 500 INDEX917.57-3.18-0.3512/04

  NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX1430.35-18.61-1.2812/04

  S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX6610.36-30.25-0.4612/04

  MEXICO BOLSA INDEX6187.67-34.01-0.5512/04

  BRAZIL BOVESPA STOCK INDEX10640.11-22.72-0.2112/04

  Europe/Africa

  DJ EURO STOXX 50 P INDEX2577.00-8.42-0.3312/04

  FTSE 100 INDEX4048.60-26.80-0.6612/04

  CAC 40 INDEX3199.84-22.42-0.7012/04

  DAX INDEX3320.7540.261.2312/04

  IBEX 35 INDEX6512.80-69.60-1.0612/04

  MILAN MIB 30 INDEX25450.0028.000.1112/04

  AMSTERDAN EXCHANGES INDEX343.28-5.95-1.7012/04

  SWISS MARKET INDEX5010.406.400.1312/04

  Asia/Pacific

  NIKKEI 225 INDEX8917.57-89.16-0.9901:01

  HANG SENG INDEX9987.86-7.87-0.0823:35

  S&P/ASX 200 INDEX3040.5013.300.4400:07

  Industry SectorWeightage in Index(%)

  Industrial12.0

  Consumer Durables13.5

  Health14.6

  Finance20.9

  Information Technology13.6

  Type of CorporateAction Adjustment FactorDivisor

  ActionAdjustment Required

  Company Change(AdditionAdd new company market value Yes

  &Removal of Company)minus old company market value

  Share IssuanceShares Outstanding plus Newly Yes

  (i.e.change¡Ý5%)issued Shares

  Share RepurchaseShares Outstanding minusYes

  (i.e.change¡Ý5%)Repurchased Shares

  SpinoffPrice of Parent company minus(PriceYes

  of Spinoff Co/Share Exchange Ratio)

  Stock Split(i.e.2x1)Shares Outstanding multiplied No

  by 2 Stock Price divided by 2

  Special Cash DividendsShare Price minus Special DividendYes

  Rights OfferingPrice of parent company minusYes

  (Price of Rights/Right Ratio)

  SectorSubsectorMacroMicroValuationStock

  FactorsFactorsToolsDrivers

  MultiIndustry GDP growth,

  asset prices(particularly property)

  Sum of parts,

  DCF,

  EVA

  Relative value,restructuring,M&A activity

  Real Estate Hotels, Dev-elopers, & investment Pro-perty Consul-tants

  Interest rates, GDP growth, demographics

  Supply,vac-ancies,

  afford-ability, bank liquidity, government policy

  P/E, NAV,

  Adjusted ROE

  P/E, NAV,

  Adjusted ROE

  Property sector turning points.

  consumer senti-ment, rates

  Technology PC/Wireless/Internet demand Inventory levels.order book.

  new customers

  P/E to Growth

  Volume growth,

  gross margins

  Telecoms Economic growth demand for communications services,

  regulations

  Competitive landscape,

  tariff changes,

  customer acquisition costs prof-itability, network coverage/reli-ability’finan-cial strengthDCF,

  EV/EBITDA,

  P/EEE adjusted to growth rates,sum-of-parts

  DCF,

  EV/EBITDA,

  P/EEE adjusted to growth rates,sum-of-parts

  For developed markets,

  exposure to data and internet assets, strategic partnership with int’l players,

  restructuring in emerging Asia

  Transport Airlines GDP growth,

  oil pricesNew aircraft orders,

  aircraft utilization,

  fuel hedging

  Earnings momentum

  Utilities GDP growth.

  weather,

  regulatory policy

  Unit fuel costs,

  growth in instal-led capacity

  EV/EBITDA,

  P/E,

  EV/Capacity, CF,

  sum of parts

  Restructuring,

  realizing hidden value

  BanksGDP growth,

  loan growth,

  interest rates?asset prices

  Cost structure.

  noninterest income contribution?target market strategy,

  technology usageP/ABV,

  P/BVGDP growth.

  spreads,

  country risk pr-emiums,

  M&A activity

  Oil & GasExploration &

  Production Oil prices Production growth profile, exploration upside potential, management track record.

  P/C E,

  P/NAV.

  EV/EBITDA

  P/C E,

  P/NAV.

  EV/EBITDA

  Oil pricesRefining &

  MarketingOil pricesRefinery complexityP/E Refining

  marginsBase Materials Paper & Forest ProductsCommission pricing, global GDP(demand),new capacity additions(supply)Inventory lev-els,

  production cost changesInventory lev-els,

  production cost changesEV/EBITDA,

  P/E,

  NAV

  EV/EBITDA,

  P/E,

  NAV

  Product pricing,Restructuring storiesRetail/Consumer Goods

  Food, Beverage,Tobacco, Appa-rel Retail, Food Retail, Household Applian-ces, Footwear Supply

  Influences on consumer senti-ment(GDP growth,asset prices particularly property, change in unemployment rate), inflation/deflation(pricing power, sourcing cost), rentals,salaries’exchange rate(for imported materials), savings rate, population growth/household formation

  Cost structure,product strat-egy, distribution and marketing strategy, relative pricing

  PE/Growth,

  E V/EBITDA,

  EV/EBITDA

  Growth, P/B VPE/Growth,

  E V/EBITDA,

  EV/EBITDA

  Growth, P/B VDemand dyna-micspricing/volume,

  margin expansion pote-ntial, restruc-turing, M&A activity

  Source: MORGAN STANLEY DEAN WITTER, Asia/Pacific Investment StrategyEV: Enterprise Value;

  EVA: Economic Value Add;

  DCF: Discounted Cash Flow;

  NAV: Net Asset Value;

  P/ABV: Price to Adjusted Book Value Multiple;

  P/B: Price to Book Value;

  P/CE: Price to Cash Earnings;

  P/E: Price to Earning ratio

  7/3/2001S Sales EPSEarning EstimatedPEGMktYTD ROIC

  Per ShareEPS Growth

  Earning Data(5year growth

  estimates)

  Price01-05E01-05E0001E02E00?01/02/200020012002Cap%Chg0001E02E

  00E01E

  595%10%1.691.922.2316%13%16%2.182.361.6536,308-9%27%31%35%

  295%10%1.181.011.173%-14%17%8.19na.1.4530,548-20%19%18%24%

  565%10%3.323.403.7411%3%10%1.535.491.4930,398-21%22%21%23%

  644%9%3.003.203.583%7%12%7.112.861.4982,672-19%21%18%18%

  714%12%2.603.274.0613%25%24%2.100.860.7270,0215%nanana

  5994%12%27.829.937.422%7%25%0.972.860.6439,4925%nanana

  765%11%1.521.711.9424%12%13%2.083.703.0151,545-16%nanana

  10%13%8%17%-11%22%22%25%

  122410%53.956.664.514.56.810.01.563.181.90-7%

  Colagate($)

  Gilette($)

  Kimbely Clark($)

  Procter Gamble($)

  Unilever NV(EUR)

  Unilever PLC(p)

  L’Oreal(EUR)

  Large Cap Average

  S&P500

  Mkt cap: Market Capitalization

  YTD Price Change: Year-to-date Price Charge

  ROIC: Return on Invested Capital

  PEG: Price Earnings/EPS Growth

  Valuation ParametersP/ERelative PEP/CEEV/EBITDADividend Dividend

  2000E2001E2002E2000E2001E2002E2000E2001E2002E2000E2001E2002E

  34.930.826.5153.7147.3139.632.626.926.218.817.215.70.631.1%

  24.628.824.7108.3137.7130.023.326.924.013.214.913.50.652.2%

  16.816.414.974.178.676.616.115.714.910.29.79.11.122.0%

  21.319.917.893.695.393.819.719.117.711.711.010.51.402.2%

  27.221.717.4119.7103.891.729.022.518.213.412.210.91.432.0%

  21.520.116.094.896.084.426.820.416.511.811.210.00.130.0%

  50.144.639.3220.7213.3207.1na na na27.024.1na0.440.6%

  28.126.022.4123.6124.6117.924.622.319.615.214.311.60.831.4%

  22.720.919.0100.0100.0100.0na na na16.71.3%

  Colagate($)

  Gilette($)

  Kimbely Clark($)

  Procter Gamble($)

  Unilever NV(EUR)

  Unilever PLC(p)

  L’Oreal(EUR)

  Large Cap Average

  S&P500

  P/CE: price/cash earnings

  EBITDA: Earnings Before interest, Taxes, Depreciation & AmortizationPreviousPreviousCurrentCurrentYld ChgPrc Chg

  BillsMatPriceYieldPriceYield

  3month11/14/021.58(1.61)1.59(1.62)0.01+1

  6month2/13/031.53(1.56)1.54(1.57)0.01+1

  Notes/PreviousPreviousCurrentCurrentYld ChgPrc Chg

  BondsCouponMat DatePriceYieldPriceYield

  2year2.2507/31/04100-17+(1.96)100-19(1.94)-0.02+0.01

  5year3.2508/15/07100-20(3.11)100-26(3.07)-0.04+0.06

  10year4.3758/15/12102-11+(4.09)102-19+(4.05)-0.03+0.08

  30year5.3752/15/31106-06+(4.97)106-14(4.95)-0.01+0.07Current and previous yield curves not differentiated in above chart as yield change was minimalBond Investment Return Calculation-US$ Benchmark Unchange

  Assumptions2 April 20012 Sep 2002

  Yield %Yield %

  U.S. Benchmark5.005.00

  Hanvit Spread8.002.77

  (12.75% due Dec 2, 2005)13.007.77

  Bond Price%99.10056114.03410

  Interest Accrual $/$100 face value4.25003.1875

  Investment Cashflow: Assuming US$1,000,000.00 face imvestment

  Purchase cost(2 April 2001)1,033,505.60(99.10056%X1,000,000)+

  ($4.25¡Á1,000,000/100)

  Sale Proceeds (2 Sep 2002)1,172,216.00(114.03410%¡Á1,000,000)+

  $3.1875¡Á1,000,000/100)

  USD Profits138,710.40

  Coupon Payments191,250.00(3 sa coupon payments

  received each US$63,750,

  as Hanvit did not default)

  Total Investment Returns USD329,960.40

  Actual Returns over Period31.9263%

  Annualized Returns22.1882%(investment period of 518 days)CurrencyCurrency Code in Global Fx Markets

  US DollarsUSD

  Japanese YenJPY

  EuroEUR

  Sterling PoundsGBP

  Swiss FrancsCHF

  Australian DollarsAUD

  New Zealand DollarsNZD

  Hong Kong DollarsHKD

  Singapore DollarsSGD

  Korean WonKRW

  Chinese YuanCNY

  New Taiwan DollarTWDCurrercy distribution of reported globalforeign exchange market turnover1

  Percentage shares of average daily turnover in April

  1989199219951998.22001

  US Dollar90.082.083.387.390.4

  Euro----37.6

  Deutsch Mark327.039.638.130.1-

  French Frane2.03.87.95.1

  ECU* EMS*Dollar4.011.815.717.3-

  Japanese Yen27.023.424.120.222.7

  Sterling Pound15.013.69.411.013.2

  Swiss Frane10.08.47.37.16.1

  Caradian Dollar1.03.33.43.64.5

  Australian Dollar2.02.52.73.14.2

  Swedish Krona4-1.30.60.42.6

  Hong Kong Dollar4-1.10.91.32.3

  Singapere Dollar4-0.30.31.21.1

  Emerging Market-0.50.43.05.3

  Currencies4,5

  Other22.08.57.99.310.0

  All Currencies200.0200.0200.0200.0200.0

  *ECU: European Currency Unit

  *EMS: European Monetary SystemCurrency PairExplanation

  USD/JPY

  Other major USD reference pairs:

  U SD/CHF;

  USD/CAD;

  USD/RMB

  E UR/USD

  Other major EUR reference pairs:

  E UR/JPY;

  EUR/STG;

  EUR/AUD;

  EUR/CHF

  How much is one USD worth in JPY terms,i.e. a USD/JPY quotation of127means that it takes127 JPY to exchange for 1 USD.When the market says that JPY has strengthened,it means that the USD/JPY FX rate is lower than127,e.g.123. That is, it takes less JPY now to buy 1 USD, thus JPY has strengthened.

  W hen the market says the¡°Dollar Yen¡±is up, it would mean that USD has appreciated(gotten stronger)against the JPY; in this case, it could have risen to130.

  This quote means how much USD is needed in exchange for one EURO. Does it matter if it is quoted or understood incorrectly? Let us take a look atthe following example:

  A client wants to buy EUR1mln, and sell his USD in the process. Bank dealer quotes EUR/USD at 0.9700, the market convention.The correct transaction would mean that the client is charged only USD 970,000 and he gets his EUR1mln.

  If one interprets it incorrectly and thinks the quote refers to amount of EUR for 1 USD,then the client could be mistakenly charged USD 1,030,920 for his EUR1mln.

  A difference of US$60,920,which could be someone’s annual salary.

  Currency PairExplanation

  EUR/JPY

  This quotation represents the amount of JPY required to buy 1 EUR.If one knows the FX rate of EUR/USD and USD/JPY,one can work out the EUR/JPY rate,which is commonly know as a CROSS RATE.

  E.g.: E UR/USD...........0.9700

  USD/JPY............127.00

  EUR/JPY would be(0.97¡Á127)=123.19

  Initial USD

  Investment in the Local Currency

  Initial Investment in Equivalent RMB

  Exchange Rate Before Crisis/U SD

  Local Equiva-lent of USD Investment Exchange Rate at Peak of Crisis

  USD Equiva-lent of Local Currency at Peak of Crisis

  Loss in USD

  Loss in Equivalent RMB

  100,000830,000

  IDR2,150,000215,000,00015,000,00014,33385,667711,033

  MYR2,100210,0004,40047,72752,273433,864

  MYR

  THB25,0002,500,00050,00050,00050,000415,000

  The Firm

  SecuritiesInvestment ManagementFinancial Services

  Institutional SecuritiesTraditional InvestmentRetail Banking

  A:Investment BankingMutual FundsA.Traditional Products

  -Deposits& loans

  1.Advisory ServicesSeparately Managed-Credit Cards

  -Corporate FinanceAccounts-Mortgage Lending

  -Mergers,Acquisitions

  & RestructuringB.Investment products

  -Real EstateAlternative Investments

  2.Securities UnderwritingHedge FundsForeign Exchange

  -Equity Capital MarketsMutual funds

  -Debt Capital MarketsFund of Funds

  C.Bancassurance

  3.Principal ActivitiesVenture Capital

  -Direct investments& Private

  -Risk arbitrageEquity Funds

  -Bank loan

  -Inter-bank TradingReal Estate

  B:Institutional Sales &TradingIndividual Investor Group

  4.EquityA:Investor Advisory Services

  -Core

  -ConvertibleB:Wealth Management

  -Derivatives

  C:Self-Directed Investors

  5.Fixed Income

  -Interest rateD: Online brokerage

  -Foreign Exchange

  C:research

  6.Euity

  7.Fixed Income

  D:Securities Services

  -Securities Lending

  -Prime Brokerage ServiceCoverage UniverseInvestment Banking Clients(IBC)

  Stock Rating Count% of Count% of Total % of Rating CategoryTotalIBCCategory

  Overweight688342724140

  Equalweight949462934431

  Underweight41420961523

  Total2051661

行业内的最新发展

  你需要花些时间研究每个公司的最新发展动态。随着科技时代的到来,这种研究在如今的网络时代(Internet era)要比前网络时代(pre-Internet era)轻松许多。了解公司和行业近来的重大发展可使你在面试时与面试官有更广泛的交谈话题。实际上,很可能你应征的这个职位正是为了近来的某项新的商业创意所设置的。

  留意机构内董事长、首席执行官、首席财政官、各区域负责人以及其他负责主要业务领域和部门的高级负责人的名字;

  找出该企业引以自豪的独到之处,例如:企业文化、改革创新、管理方法、企业理念等等。

  许多全球性金融机构都有其鲜明的企业文化,这种文化的存在不仅使企业在不同地域开展业务时游刃有余而且在相互连接(inter-connected)、变幻莫测的全球金融市场上作出迅速的反应。最基本的一点是:任何业务领域的员工必须和企业分享共同远景(common vision)、价值取向、企业精神,这样才能将企业的价值主张(value proposition)传达给客户。一些企业的领导人不遗余力地宣传企业经营哲学。充分理解这些企业文化有助于你了解该企业,并且知道为什么在面试时会被问到某些问题。

  新闻时事

  新闻时事包罗万象,不可能没有疏漏。加上金融市场的构成复杂、信息变化快,所以很难对此了解得面面俱到。比如说经济效益(economic performance)、公司的重大事件(corporate event)、政府规章和政策(government regulations and policies)、政治事件(political affairs)、战争和冲突(war & conflicts)、货币政策(monetary policies)、恐怖主义(terrorism)等等都会对投资者的情绪和资金流向产生很大的影响,进而影响到金融资本市场。金融市场专业的学生必须对这些时事保持高度的敏感性,注意到这些影响因素如何作用于金融市场,并学会区分哪些是短期的情绪波动因素、哪些是长期的基本影响因素。金融界主要关注的话题有:美国联邦储备和七大工业国中央银行(G7 central banks)利息率的调整所带来的影响、当前各公司所面临的信用和履行问题(the compliance and accountability issues)、主要产业之间的交易、原油价格、七大工业国如美国、日本和欧洲所面临的主要问题、最新的财务危机和财务丑闻。

  对上面的新闻进行提炼,找出其中对金融市场和投资隐含的影响,对你意义重大。凭借这些分析,你可以对手头的投资项目或金融业务作出正确的判断。这说起来容易做起来很难,因为大多数情况下,新闻中透露出的信号并不十分明显,而且在新闻发布的同时,市场很可能已经据此发生了变化。但只要我们持续不断地关注最新的时事动态及其发展变化,我们一定能够达到一定水平。

  非金融领域指标金融领域指标/预期指标

  工厂平均每周工作小时数 股票价格(标准普尔500)

  失业保险金的首次认领 实际货币供应(M2)

  厂商表现(订单到出货的周期时间) 利率的变化(10年期债券收益

  新屋营建许可 率减联邦储备率)

  经调整通货膨胀率后的实际消费品 消费者的预期

  和原材料的新订单

  经调整通货膨胀率后的实际资本配

  备(非军用品)的新订单

  指数名称价值变化变化率%时间

  北美/拉丁美洲

  道琼斯工业平均指数8737.85-5.08-0.0612/04

  (杜琼斯指数/INDU)

  标准普尔500(SPX)917.57-3.18-0.3512/04

  纳斯达克100(IXNDX)1430.35-18.61-1.2812/04

  加拿大多伦多300(TSE)6610.36-30.25-0.4612/04

  墨西哥综合指数(MBI)6187.67-34.01-0.5512/04

  巴西股指(BBSI)10640.11-22.72-0.2112/04

  欧洲/非洲

  道琼斯欧洲50指数2577.00-8.42-0.3312/04

  富时100指数4048.60-26.80-0.6612/04

  法国股市40(CAC)3199.84-22.42-0.7012/04

  德股(DAX)3320.7540.261.2312/04

  意大利35股指(IBEX35)6512.80-69.60-1.0612/04

  米兰MIB30股价指数25450.0028.000.1112/04

  阿姆斯特丹AEX股价指数343.28-5.95-1.7012/04

  瑞士股指5010.406.400.1312/04

  亚太地区

  日经225指数8917.57-89.16-0.9901:01

  恒生指数9987.86-7.87-0.0823:35

  澳洲标准普尔股价指数3040.5013.300.4400:07

  行业部门所占比例(%)

  工业12.0

  耐用消费品13.5

  医疗和保健14.6

  金融20.9

  信息技术13.6

  公司行为类型调整要素是否需要除数调整

  公司的变化 +新公司的市场价值是

  (增加或删减) -旧公司的市场价值

  股票发行 流通股数+新发行股数是

  (例如:增幅≥5%)

  股份购回 发行股数-股票购回股数是

  (例:变动幅度≥5%)

  子公司剥离 母公司的价格-(子公司资产是

  分割的价格/股票交换率)

  股票拆股 流通股数×2,股价÷2否

  (例如:一股拆成二股)

  特别现金股利 股票的价格-特别股利是

  配股出售 母公司的价格-配股价与配股是

  率比

  产业部门分支部门宏观因素微观因素评估工具股票价格的

  推动因素

  综合产业国内生产总值增长率,资产价格(特别是地产价格)

  每个单独产业价值相加的总和,折现现金流,经济性增值

  相对价值;重组,合并与收购

  房地产业宾馆,发展商和房地产投资顾问

  利息率,国内生产总值的增长率,人口特征

  市场供给;职位空置,偿付能力,银行流通量,政府政策

  市盈率,净资产值,调整后的股权收益率

  房地产业的转折点,消费者信心,利率

  技术产业

  电脑/无线电/互联网的需求

  库存水平,定单,新客户

  市盈率与增长率比增长量,毛利润

  电信业

  经济增长率,信息服务的需求,法规

  有竞争力的前景,关税变化,客户收购成本,网络覆盖度/可靠性,经济实力

  折现现金流,企业价值与利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利的比率针对发展成熟的市场,公开的数据和因特网资产,全球的战略伙伴关系,崛起的亚洲电信业的重组

  交通业航空业新的飞机定单,飞机的利用,燃料风险规避

  市盈率,利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利

  盈利冲劲公用事业国内生产总值增长率,天气,法规政策

  单位燃料成本,安装能力的增长

  市盈率,企业价值与利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利的比率,企业价值与生产能力的比率,折现现金流,每个单独产业价值相加的总和

  重组,实现隐性价值银行国内生产总值增长率,贷款增长率,利息率,资产计价成本结构,非贷款利率收入对盈利的份额市价与净资产比率,市价与账面的价值国内生产总值增长率,存贷利差,国家风险溢价,合并与收购

  石油和天然气勘探和生产油价

  石油生产的增长,勘探量上涨的潜力,管理+跟踪记录

  P/CE市价与现金盈利的比率,P/NAV市价与净资产的比率,企业价值与利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利的比率

  油价

  纸张和森林产品佣金价格,全球国内生产总值(需方),市场新供应量(供方)

  企业价值与利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利的比率,市盈率,净资产的比率产品定价,企业重组

  零售商品/消费品

  食品,饮料,烟草,服装零售业,食品零售业,家庭用品,鞋类

  对消费者信心的影响因素(国内生产总值增长率,资产定价,——特别是房地产的定价、失业率变化),通胀率/通货紧缩率(定价能力、进货成本),房租,汇率(进口材料),存款率,人口增长率/家庭构成

  成本结构,产品战略,分销渠道和市场战略,相关定价

  企业价值与利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利的比率,利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利增长率,价格与预计账面比,需求动态变化-价格/数量,利润扩张潜力,合并与收购

  赢利数据

  7/3/2001S销售每股赢余每股赢余预计每股赢PEG(见下)市面YTDROIC(见下)

  余增长率Price

  (见下)

  (5年预计增长率)价 格01-05年01-05年0001年02年00’901/02/200020012002价 值%变化0001年02年

  00年01年

  595%10%1.691.922.2316%13%16%2.182.361.6536,308-9%27%31%35%

  295%10%1.181.011.173%-14%17%8.19na.1.4530,548-20%19%18%24%

  565%10%3.323.403.7411%3%10%1.535.491.4930,398-21%22%21%23%

  644%9%3.003.203.583%7%12%7.112.861.4982,672-19%21%18%18%

  714%12%2.603.274.0613%25%24%2.100.860.7270,0215%nanana

  5994%12%27.829.937.422%7%25%0.972.860.6439,4925%nanana

  765%11%1.521.711.9424%12%13%2.083.703.0151,545-16%nanana

  10%13%8%17%-11%22%22%25%

  122410%53.956.664.514.56.810.01.563.181.90-7%

  高露洁($)

  吉列($)

  金佰利($)

  宝洁($)

  荷兰联合

  利华(EUR)

  英国联合

  利华(p)

  欧莱雅(EUR)

  大盘平均股

  标准普尔500

  Mkt Cap——市面总价值

  YTD——年初至今的股价变化率

  ROIC——投入资本报酬率

  PEG——市盈率/每股赢余增长率

  评估参数市盈率相关的市盈率P/CE(见下)EV/EBITDA股利 股息

  (见下)收益率

  2000年2001年2002年2000年2001年2002年2000年2001年2002年2000年2001年2002年

  34.930.826.5153.7147.3139.632.626.926.218.817.215.70.631.1%

  24.628.824.7108.3137.7130.023.326.924.013.214.913.50.652.2%

  16.816.414.974.178.676.616.115.714.910.29.79.11.122.0%

  21.319.917.893.695.393.819.719.117.711.711.010.51.402.2%

  27.221.717.4119.7103.891.729.022.518.213.412.210.91.432.0%

  21.520.116.094.896.084.426.820.416.511.811.210.00.130.0%

  50.144.639.3220.7213.3207.1na na na27.024.1na0.440.6%

  28.126.022.4123.6124.6117.924.622.319.615.214.311.60.831.4%

  22.720.919.0100.0100.0100.0na na na16.71.3%

  高露洁($)

  吉列($)

  金佰利($)

  宝洁($)

  荷兰联合

  利华(EUR)

  英国联合

  利华(p)

  欧莱雅(EUR)

  大盘平均股

  标准普尔500

  P/E:市价与现金盈利的比率

  EV/EBITDA:企业价值与利息、税项、折旧及摊销前盈利的比率

  原来原来现在现在收益率价格

  票据到期日价格收益率价格收益率变化变化

  3个月11/14/021.58(1.61)1.59(1.62)0.01+1

  6个月2/13/031.53(1.56)1.54(1.57)0.01+1

  原来原来现在现在收益率价格

  债券票息到期日价格收益率价格收益率变化变化

  2年2.2507/31/04100-17+(1.96)100-19(1.94)-0.02+0.01

  5年3.2508/15/07100-20(3.11)100-26(3.07)-0.04+0.06

  10年4.3758/15/12102-11+(4.09)102-19+(4.05)-0.03+0.08

  30年5.3752/15/31106-06+(4.97)106-14(4.95)-0.01+0.07债券投资回报计算-美元基准不变的前提下

  假设2001年4月2日2002年9月2日

  收益率%收益率%

  美国基准5.005.00

  韩汇银行利差8.002.77

  (12.75%票面利本2005年12月2日到期)13.007.77

  债券价格%99.10056114.03410

  获取利息/100美元面值4.25003.1875

  投资的现金流:假设为美金1,000,000.00面值投资

  购入成本(2002年4月2日)1,033,505.60(99.10056%X1,000,000)+

  ($4.25×1,000,000/100)

  售出收益(2002年9月2日)1,172,216.00(114.03410%×1,000,000)+

  ($3.1875×1,000,000/100)

  美元利润138,710.40

  付出票息191,250.00(收到3份半年度的票息付

  款,每份为美金63,750,

  假如Hanvit不违约的话)

  总投资回报(美元)329,960.40

  期间实际回报31.9263%

  年度回报22.1882%(投资时间长度是518天)货币国际外汇交易市场上的货币交易代码

  美元USD

  日元JPY

  欧元EUR

  英镑GBP

  瑞士法郎CHF

  澳大利亚元AUD

  新西兰元NZD

  港元HKD

  新加坡元SGD

  韩国元KRW

  人民币CNY

  新台币TWD国际外汇交易市场成交量的货币分布情况1

  4月份日平均成交量的市场占有情况

  19891992199519982001

  美元90.082.083.387.390.4

  欧元----37.6

  德国马克327.039.638.130.1-

  法国法郎2.03.87.95.1-

  ECU*和EMS*货币4.011.815.717.3-

  日元27.023.424.120.222.7

  英镑15.013.69.411.013.2

  瑞士法郎10.08.47.37.16.1

  加元1.03.33.43.64.5

  澳元2.02.52.73.14.2

  瑞典克朗4-1.30.60.42.6

  港币4-1.10.91.32.3

  新加坡元4-0.30.31.21.1

  新兴市场货币4,5-0.50.43.05.3

  其他22.08.57.99.310.0

  所有货币200.0200.0200.0200.0200.0

  1.因为每次交易都涉及到两种货币,所以总的市场占有率的百分比用200%来代替100%。关于“净—净”成交量(net-net turnover)的数字,将这些百分数调整成双倍是为了便于当地和跨国(cross-border)交易。1989年的数字未作调整,因为这些数字是统计“毛—毛”成交量的(gross-gross turnover)。2.根据上一次的调查作出的修改。3.1989年4月的数据不包括德国马克的国内贸易。4.1992年—1996年,数据仅包括本国货币的交易量。5.1992年—1996年,货币包括南非兰特(South Africa rand)、巴西里拉(Brazilian real)、智利比索(Chilean peso)、捷克克朗(Czech koruna)、印度卢比(Indian rupee)、马来西亚林吉特(Malaysian ringgit)、墨西哥比索(Mexican peso)、波兰兹罗提(Polish zloty)、俄罗斯卢布、沙特阿拉伯里尔(Saudi riyal)、台币和泰铢(Thai baht)。

  *ECU:(European Currency Unit)欧洲货币单位

  *EMS:(European Monetary System)欧洲货币体系货币组合说 明

  美元/日元

  其他货币与美元的组合方式是:

  美元/瑞士法郎,

  美元/加拿大元,

  美元/人民币

  欧元/美元

  其他货币与欧元的组合方式是:

  欧元/日元,

  欧元/英镑,

  欧元/澳大利亚元,

  欧元/瑞士法郎

  是指一个美元相当于多少日元。例如:美元对日元的汇率是127,是指127日元可以兑换1美元。当市场上的日元升值时,是指USD/JPY外汇汇率低于127,比如说123。也就是说现在购入1美元可以花费较少的日元。

  当“美元兑日元”的汇率上升是指美元升值,在本例中,可能升至130。这个报价是指多少美元用来兑换1欧元。如果报价或理解错误的话会有什么后果?我们来看看下面这个例子:

  某先生想在买入100万的欧元同时卖出美元。银行交易员的报价是:EUR/USD0.9700。正确的交易应该是该先生只需要卖出970000美金,便可得到100万欧元。

  如果某人理解错误,认为这个报价是指多少欧元可以购买1美元的话,这位客户可能将被收取1030920美元才能购得100万欧元。

  这其中60920美元的差价可能就是某些人一年的工资。

  这个报价是指多少日元可以购入1欧元。如果

  你知道欧元/美元和美元/日元的汇率,你就可以推算出欧元/日元的汇率。这就是大家所熟知的交叉汇率。

  例: EUR/USD......0.9700

   USD/JPY......127.00

   EUR/JPY即为:(0.97×127)=123.19

  欧元/日元

  来源:GS Exced Associates在当地货币市场首次投资的美元数

  首次投资相当于人民币数

  危机发生前的外汇交换率

  相当于在当地投资美元数

  危机高峰时的外汇交换率

  在危机高峰时美元相当于当地货币数损失美元数

  相当于损失人民币数

  100,000830,000

  印尼币2,150,000215,000,00015,000,00014,33385,667711,033

  马来西2,100210,0004,40047,72752,273433,864

  亚林吉特

  泰铢25,0002,500,00050,00050,00050,000415,000

  公 司

  债券投资管理金融服务

  机构投资的证券业务传统投资业务零售银行业务

  A:投资银行共同基金A.传统金融产品

  ——存款和贷款

  1.咨询服务个别管理账户——信用卡

  ——公司财务——按揭贷款

  ——合并、收购和重组

  ——房地产B.投资产品

  外汇交易

  2.证券承销另类投资业务共同基金

  ——股权资本市场

  ——债权资本市场对冲基金C.银行保险业

  3.主要业务组合基金

  ——直接投资

  ——风险套利创业投资和私募基金

  ——银行贷款

  ——银行内部交易房地产

  B:机构销售和交易个人投资业务

  4.股票A:投资咨询服务

  ——股票

  ——可转换为股权证券的B:资产管理

  公司债券

  ——衍生产品

  C:个人投资服务

  5.固定收入

  ——利息率D:网上证券业务

  ——外汇交换

  C:市场调查

  6.股票

  7.债券

  D:证券服务

  ——证券租赁

  ——首要经纪服务*银行保险业(Bancas-surance)——原为一个法语单词,指通过银行已建立好的客户渠道销售保险业务。现在已经作为一个专门定义银行业务的词汇被普遍接受。即,银行对客户提供包括银行、保险、贷款和投资产品等一系列的服务。

  全球客户总数投资银行客户

  股票评级种类数量占总数%数量占总投资银行客户%占总评级种类%

  超额688342724140

  同等于标准额949462934431

  低于标准额41420961523

  总数2051661




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